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Matchup summary

The Diamondbacks take on the Padres in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 9:41 PM ET. Diamondbacks are getting +114 on the moneyline with the total at 7.5. Market win probability leans Padres at 55.2%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.

Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL

More on this matchup: Diamondbacks betting trends · Padres betting trends · all MLB games

Diamondbacks vs Padres betting splits

Where is the money on Diamondbacks vs Padres?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyLine / odds
SpreadDiamondbacks52%81%+1.5 (-200)
Padres48%19%-1.5 (+162)
TotalOver71%73%O 7.5 (-102)
Under29%27%U 7.5 (-116)
MoneylineDiamondbacks29%89%+114
Padres71%11%-136

52% of spread tickets and 81% of spread money are on the Diamondbacks, so the average Diamondbacks bet is larger than the average Padres bet.

71% of total tickets and 73% of total money are on the over, so the average over bet is larger than the average under bet.

The Padres hold 71% of moneyline tickets but only 11% of the money; 89% of moneyline money is on the Diamondbacks with 29% of tickets, so the average Diamondbacks bet is larger.

Line movement

What is the Diamondbacks vs Padres spread and total?

MarketEarliest trackedCurrentMove
Spread (Padres)-1.5-1.50
Total7.57.50

The Padres were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.

The total was 7.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 7.5: it has not moved.

The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.

Why the line moved

Why did the Diamondbacks vs Padres line move?

The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Padres -1.5) even with 81% of the spread money on the Diamondbacks. The total has not moved from the earliest tracked line (7.5) even with 73% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.

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Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Picks — Sep 25, 2026 | Locksmith