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Matchup summary
The Braves take on the Marlins in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 7:11 PM ET. The consensus line has Braves favored at -124 on the moneyline with the total sitting at 8. Market win probability leans Braves at 53.5%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.
Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL
More on this matchup: Braves betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Braves vs Marlins betting splits
Where is the money on Braves vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Braves | 73% | 94% | -1.5 (+136) |
| Marlins | 27% | 6% | +1.5 (-165) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 56% | O 8 (-115) |
| Under | 38% | 44% | U 8 (-106) | |
| Moneyline | Braves | 80% | 83% | -124 |
| Marlins | 20% | 17% | +105 |
73% of spread tickets and 94% of spread money are on the Braves, so the average Braves bet is larger than the average Marlins bet.
62% of total tickets and 56% of total money are on the over, so the over draws more tickets than money and the average under bet is larger.
80% of moneyline tickets and 83% of moneyline money are on the Braves, so the average Braves bet is larger than the average Marlins bet.
Line movement
What is the Braves vs Marlins spread and total?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Current | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
The Braves were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 8.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 8, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Braves vs Marlins line move?
The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Marlins +1.5) even with 94% of the spread money on the Braves. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8.5 to 8) even though 56% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 44% of the money and 38% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.