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Matchup summary

The Cubs take on the Red Sox in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 6:06 PM ET. The consensus line has Cubs favored at -116 on the moneyline with the total sitting at 6.5. Market win probability leans Cubs at 51.5%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.

Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL

More on this matchup: Cubs betting trends · Red Sox betting trends · all MLB games

Cubs vs Red Sox betting splits

Where is the money on Cubs vs Red Sox?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyLine / odds
TotalOver76%78%O 6.5 (-110)
Under24%22%U 6.5 (-107)
MoneylineCubs67%71%-116
Red Sox33%29%-102

76% of total tickets and 78% of total money are on the over, so the average over bet is larger than the average under bet.

67% of moneyline tickets and 71% of moneyline money are on the Cubs, so the average Cubs bet is larger than the average Red Sox bet.

Line movement

What is the Cubs vs Red Sox spread and total?

MarketEarliest trackedCurrentMove
Spread (Red Sox)+1.5+1.50
Total6.56.50

The Cubs were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.

The total was 6.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 6.5: it has not moved.

The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.

Why the line moved

Why did the Cubs vs Red Sox line move?

The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Red Sox +1.5). The total has not moved from the earliest tracked line (6.5) even with 78% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.

Read more

Cubs vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Picks — Sep 25, 2026 | Locksmith