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Matchup summary
The Cubs take on the Red Sox in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 1:06 PM ET. The consensus line has Cubs favored at -120 on the moneyline with the total sitting at 6.5. Market win probability leans Cubs at 51.5%. Odds from 7 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.
Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL
More on this matchup: Cubs betting trends · Red Sox betting trends · all MLB games
Cubs vs Red Sox betting splits
Where is the money on Cubs vs Red Sox?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cubs | 58% | 55% | -1.5 (+150) |
| Red Sox | 42% | 45% | +1.5 (-180) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 75% | O 6.5 (-105) |
| Under | 24% | 25% | U 6.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Cubs | 67% | 75% | -120 |
| Red Sox | 33% | 25% | -100 |
58% of spread tickets and 55% of spread money are on the Cubs, so the Cubs draw more tickets than money and the average Red Sox bet is larger.
76% of total tickets and 75% of total money are on the over, so the over draws more tickets than money and the average under bet is larger.
67% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money are on the Cubs, so the average Cubs bet is larger than the average Red Sox bet.
Line movement
What is the Cubs vs Red Sox spread and total?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Current | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Red Sox) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 6.5 | -2 |
The Cubs were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 8.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 6.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cubs vs Red Sox line move?
The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Red Sox +1.5) even with 55% of the spread money on the Cubs. The total moved 2 points toward the under (8.5 to 6.5) even though 75% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 25% of the money and 24% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.