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Matchup summary

The Reds take on the Blue Jays in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 7:08 PM ET. Reds are getting +115 on the moneyline with the total at 7.5. Market win probability leans Blue Jays at 55.5%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.

Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL

More on this matchup: Reds betting trends · Blue Jays betting trends · all MLB games

Reds vs Blue Jays betting splits

Where is the money on Reds vs Blue Jays?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyLine / odds
SpreadReds41%3%+1.5 (-192)
Blue Jays59%97%-1.5 (+161)
TotalOver78%84%O 7.5 (-112)
Under22%16%U 7.5 (-105)
MoneylineReds22%80%+115
Blue Jays78%20%-135

59% of spread tickets and 97% of spread money are on the Blue Jays, so the average Blue Jays bet is larger than the average Reds bet.

78% of total tickets and 84% of total money are on the over, so the average over bet is larger than the average under bet.

The Blue Jays hold 78% of moneyline tickets but only 20% of the money; 80% of moneyline money is on the Reds with 22% of tickets, so the average Reds bet is larger.

Line movement

What is the Reds vs Blue Jays spread and total?

MarketEarliest trackedCurrentMove
Spread (Blue Jays)-1.5-1.50
Total7.57.50

The Blue Jays were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.

The total was 7.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 7.5: it has not moved.

The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.

Why the line moved

Why did the Reds vs Blue Jays line move?

The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Blue Jays -1.5) even with 97% of the spread money on the Blue Jays. The total has not moved from the earliest tracked line (7.5) even with 84% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.

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Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Picks — Sep 25, 2026 | Locksmith