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Matchup summary
The Guardians take on the Royals in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 7:41 PM ET. The consensus line has Guardians favored at -140 on the moneyline with the total sitting at 7.5. Market win probability leans Guardians at 55.5%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.
Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Royals betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Royals betting splits
Where is the money on Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 79% | 99% | -1.5 (+125) |
| Royals | 21% | 1% | +1.5 (-148) | |
| Total | Over | 81% | 71% | O 7.5 (-113) |
| Under | 19% | 29% | U 7.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 82% | 90% | -140 |
| Royals | 18% | 10% | +118 |
79% of spread tickets and 99% of spread money are on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet is larger than the average Royals bet.
81% of total tickets and 71% of total money are on the over, so the over draws more tickets than money and the average under bet is larger.
82% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money are on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet is larger than the average Royals bet.
Line movement
What is the Guardians vs Royals spread and total?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Current | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Royals) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7.5 | 0 |
The Guardians were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 7.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 7.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Royals line move?
The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Royals +1.5) even with 99% of the spread money on the Guardians. The total has not moved from the earliest tracked line (7.5) even with 71% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.