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Matchup summary
The Mets take on the Nationals in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 6:46 PM ET. The consensus line has Mets favored at -135 on the moneyline with the total sitting at 8. Market win probability leans Mets at 54.5%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.
Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL
More on this matchup: Mets betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games
Mets vs Nationals betting splits
Where is the money on Mets vs Nationals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mets | 53% | 66% | -1.5 (+125) |
| Nationals | 47% | 34% | +1.5 (-150) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 77% | O 8 (-110) |
| Under | 20% | 23% | U 8 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Mets | 71% | 37% | -135 |
| Nationals | 29% | 63% | +114 |
53% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money are on the Mets, so the average Mets bet is larger than the average Nationals bet.
80% of total tickets and 77% of total money are on the over, so the over draws more tickets than money and the average under bet is larger.
The Mets hold 71% of moneyline tickets but only 37% of the money; 63% of moneyline money is on the Nationals with 29% of tickets, so the average Nationals bet is larger.
Line movement
What is the Mets vs Nationals spread and total?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Current | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Nationals) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8 | 8 | 0 |
The Mets were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 8 at the earliest tracked line and is now 8: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Mets vs Nationals line move?
The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Nationals +1.5) even with 66% of the spread money on the Mets. The total has not moved from the earliest tracked line (8) even with 77% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.