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Matchup summary
The Pirates take on the Tigers in MLB action on Friday, September 25 at 6:41 PM ET. The consensus line has Pirates favored at -109 on the moneyline with the total sitting at 7.5. Market win probability leans Tigers at 50.5%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.
Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL
More on this matchup: Pirates betting trends · Tigers betting trends · all MLB games
Pirates vs Tigers betting splits
Where is the money on Pirates vs Tigers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pirates | 37% | 67% | -1.5 (+158) |
| Tigers | 63% | 33% | +1.5 (-190) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 74% | O 7.5 (-120) |
| Under | 22% | 26% | U 7.5 (+104) | |
| Moneyline | Pirates | 54% | 54% | -109 |
| Tigers | 46% | 46% | -110 |
The Tigers hold 63% of spread tickets but only 33% of the money; 67% of spread money is on the Pirates with 37% of tickets, so the average Pirates bet is larger.
78% of total tickets and 74% of total money are on the over, so the over draws more tickets than money and the average under bet is larger.
54% of moneyline tickets and 54% of moneyline money are on the Pirates, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What is the Pirates vs Tigers spread and total?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Current | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Tigers) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
The Pirates were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 8 at the earliest tracked line and is now 7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Pirates vs Tigers line move?
The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Tigers +1.5) even with 67% of the spread money on the Pirates. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8 to 7.5) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 22% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.