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Matchup summary

The Diamondbacks take on the Padres in MLB action on Saturday, September 26 at 8:40 PM ET. Diamondbacks are getting +107 on the moneyline with the total at 7.5. Market win probability leans Padres at 53.4%. Odds from 4 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.

Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL

More on this matchup: Diamondbacks betting trends · Padres betting trends · all MLB games

Diamondbacks vs Padres betting splits

Where is the money on Diamondbacks vs Padres?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyLine / odds
TotalOver88%86%O 7.5 (-111)
Under12%14%U 7.5 (-105)

88% of total tickets and 86% of total money are on the over, so the over draws more tickets than money and the average under bet is larger.

Line movement

What is the Diamondbacks vs Padres spread and total?

MarketEarliest trackedCurrentMove
Total7.57.50

The total was 7.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 7.5: it has not moved.

The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.

Why the line moved

Why did the Diamondbacks vs Padres line move?

The total has not moved from the earliest tracked line (7.5) even with 86% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.

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Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Picks — Sep 26, 2026 | Locksmith