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Matchup summary
The Cubs take on the Padres in MLB action on Wednesday, September 30 at 10:00 PM ET. Cubs are getting +124 on the moneyline with the total at 7. Market win probability leans Padres at 56.5%. Odds from 8 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.
Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL
More on this matchup: Cubs betting trends · Padres betting trends · all MLB games
Cubs vs Padres betting splits
Where is the money on Cubs vs Padres?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cubs | 19% | 39% | +1.5 (-180) |
| Padres | 81% | 61% | -1.5 (+155) | |
| Total | Over | 92% | 92% | O 7 (-120) |
| Under | 8% | 8% | U 7 (-100) | |
| Moneyline | Cubs | 24% | 62% | +124 |
| Padres | 76% | 38% | -145 |
81% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money are on the Padres, so the Padres draw more tickets than money and the average Cubs bet is larger.
92% of total tickets and 92% of total money are on the over, with money and tickets in step.
The Padres hold 76% of moneyline tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of moneyline money is on the Cubs with 24% of tickets, so the average Cubs bet is larger.
Line movement
What is the Cubs vs Padres spread and total?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Current | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Padres) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
The Padres were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 7.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 7, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cubs vs Padres line move?
The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Padres -1.5) even with 61% of the spread money on the Padres. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (7.5 to 7) even though 92% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 8% of the money and 8% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.