Guardians @ Royals
Guardians
RoyalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Royals beat the Guardians 4-3 at home. The market closed with Guardians at -102 on the moneyline and the total at 8.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Royals betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Royals betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 26% | 4% | -1.5 (+160) |
| Royals | 74% | 96% | +1.5 (-187) | |
| Total | Over | 98% | 98% | O 8.5 (-121) |
| Under | 2% | 2% | U 8.5 (+100) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 35% | 28% | -102 |
| Royals | 65% | 72% | -118 |
74% of spread tickets and 96% of spread money were on the Royals, so the average Royals bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
98% of total tickets and 98% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
65% of moneyline tickets and 72% of moneyline money were on the Royals, so the average Royals bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Royals) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0 |
The Royals opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Guardians.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 8.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Royals line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Guardians (Royals -1.5 to Royals +1.5) even though 96% of the spread money sits on the Royals; the Guardians hold 4% of the money and 26% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (8.5) even with 98% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.