Pirates @ Marlins
Pirates
MarlinsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Marlins beat the Pirates 3-2 at home. The market closed with Pirates at +105 on the moneyline and the total at 7.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Pirates betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Pirates vs Marlins betting splits
Where was the money on Pirates vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pirates | 62% | 75% | +1.5 (-210) |
| Marlins | 38% | 25% | -1.5 (+172) | |
| Total | Over | 97% | 97% | O 7.5 (-115) |
| Under | 3% | 3% | U 7.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Pirates | 59% | 44% | +105 |
| Marlins | 41% | 56% | -125 |
62% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Pirates, so the average Pirates bet was larger than the average Marlins bet.
97% of total tickets and 97% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
The Pirates held 59% of moneyline tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of moneyline money was on the Marlins with 41% of tickets, so the average Marlins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Pirates vs Marlins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | +1.5 | -1.5 | -3 |
| Total | 8 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
The Pirates opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Marlins.
The total opened 8 and closed 7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Pirates vs Marlins line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Marlins (Marlins +1.5 to Marlins -1.5) even though 75% of the spread money sits on the Pirates; the Marlins hold 25% of the money and 38% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8 to 7.5) even though 97% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 3% of the money and 3% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.