Guardians @ Royals
Guardians
RoyalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Royals 6-2 on the road. The market closed with Guardians at -105 on the moneyline and the total at 7. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Royals betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Royals betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 40% | 26% | -1.5 (+166) |
| Royals | 60% | 74% | +1.5 (-201) | |
| Total | Over | 96% | 94% | O 7 (-115) |
| Under | 4% | 6% | U 7 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 50% | 49% | -105 |
| Royals | 50% | 51% | -115 |
60% of spread tickets and 74% of spread money were on the Royals, so the average Royals bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
96% of total tickets and 94% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Guardians held 50% of moneyline tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of moneyline money was on the Royals with 50% of tickets, so the average Royals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Royals) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8 | 7 | -1 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8 and closed 7, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Royals line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Royals +1.5) even with 74% of the spread money on the Royals. The total moved 1 point toward the under (8 to 7) even though 94% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 6% of the money and 4% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.