Padres @ Pirates
Padres
PiratesArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Padres beat the Pirates 2-1 on the road. The market closed with Padres at +103 on the moneyline and the total at 9.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Padres betting trends · Pirates betting trends · all MLB games
Padres vs Pirates betting splits
Where was the money on Padres vs Pirates?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Padres | 84% | 76% | PK (+118) |
| Pirates | 16% | 24% | PK (-103) | |
| Total | Over | 92% | 94% | O 9.5 (-110) |
| Under | 8% | 6% | U 9.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Padres | 76% | 65% | +103 |
| Pirates | 24% | 35% | -120 |
84% of spread tickets and 76% of spread money were on the Padres, so the Padres drew more tickets than money and the average Pirates bet was larger.
92% of total tickets and 94% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
76% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Padres, so the Padres drew more tickets than money and the average Pirates bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Padres vs Pirates?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Pirates) | +1.5 | PK | -1.5 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9.5 | +1 |
The Padres opened -1.5 and closed PK, a 1.5-point move toward the Pirates.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Padres vs Pirates line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Pirates (Pirates +1.5 to Pirates PK) even though 76% of the spread money sits on the Padres; the Pirates hold 24% of the money and 16% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (8.5 to 9.5), the side holding 94% of the total money and 92% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.