Braves @ Red Sox
Braves
Red SoxArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Red Sox beat the Braves 7-6 at home. The market closed with Braves at +101 on the moneyline and the total at 10. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Braves betting trends · Red Sox betting trends · all MLB games
Braves vs Red Sox betting splits
Where was the money on Braves vs Red Sox?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Braves | 45% | 21% | -1.5 (+157) |
| Red Sox | 55% | 79% | +1.5 (-189) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 81% | O 10 (-106) |
| Under | 21% | 19% | U 10 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Braves | 47% | 30% | +101 |
| Red Sox | 53% | 70% | -121 |
55% of spread tickets and 79% of spread money were on the Red Sox, so the average Red Sox bet was larger than the average Braves bet.
79% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
53% of moneyline tickets and 70% of moneyline money were on the Red Sox, so the average Red Sox bet was larger than the average Braves bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Braves vs Red Sox?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Red Sox) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
The Red Sox opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Braves.
The total opened 9.5 and closed 10, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Braves vs Red Sox line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Braves (Red Sox -1.5 to Red Sox +1.5) even though 79% of the spread money sits on the Red Sox; the Braves hold 21% of the money and 45% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (9.5 to 10), the side holding 81% of the total money and 79% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.