Astros @ Guardians
Astros
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Astros beat the Guardians 4-2 on the road. The market closed with Astros at -128 on the moneyline and the total at 8. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Astros betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Astros vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Astros vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Astros | 48% | 42% | -1.5 (+134) |
| Guardians | 52% | 58% | +1.5 (-163) | |
| Total | Over | 88% | 89% | O 8 (-102) |
| Under | 12% | 11% | U 8 (-118) | |
| Moneyline | Astros | 52% | 77% | -128 |
| Guardians | 48% | 23% | +110 |
52% of spread tickets and 58% of spread money were on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet was larger than the average Astros bet.
88% of total tickets and 89% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
52% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Astros, so the average Astros bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Astros vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Astros.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 8, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Astros vs Guardians line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Astros (Guardians -1.5 to Guardians +1.5) even though 58% of the spread money sits on the Guardians; the Astros hold 42% of the money and 48% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8.5 to 8) even though 89% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 11% of the money and 12% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.