Marlins @ Pirates
Marlins
PiratesArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Pirates beat the Marlins 10-3 at home. The market closed with Marlins at -100 on the moneyline and the total at 8. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Marlins betting trends · Pirates betting trends · all MLB games
Marlins vs Pirates betting splits
Where was the money on Marlins vs Pirates?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marlins | 21% | 30% | PK (-111) |
| Pirates | 79% | 70% | PK (+105) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 85% | O 8 (-115) |
| Under | 15% | 15% | U 8 (-106) | |
| Moneyline | Marlins | 31% | 35% | -100 |
| Pirates | 69% | 65% | -100 |
79% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Pirates, so the Pirates drew more tickets than money and the average Marlins bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
69% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Pirates, so the Pirates drew more tickets than money and the average Marlins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Marlins vs Pirates?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Pirates) | +1.5 | PK | -1.5 |
| Total | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
The Marlins opened -1.5 and closed PK, a 1.5-point move toward the Pirates.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 8, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Marlins vs Pirates line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Pirates (Pirates +1.5 to Pirates PK), the side holding 70% of the spread money and 79% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8.5 to 8) even though 85% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 15% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.