Marlins @ Nationals
Marlins
NationalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Marlins beat the Nationals 11-9 on the road. The market closed with Marlins at -112 on the moneyline and the total at 9. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Marlins betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games
Marlins vs Nationals betting splits
Where was the money on Marlins vs Nationals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marlins | 30% | 38% | -1.5 (+141) |
| Nationals | 70% | 62% | +1.5 (-172) | |
| Total | Over | 91% | 89% | O 9 (-113) |
| Under | 9% | 11% | U 9 (-106) | |
| Moneyline | Marlins | 37% | 24% | -112 |
| Nationals | 63% | 76% | -108 |
70% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Nationals, so the Nationals drew more tickets than money and the average Marlins bet was larger.
91% of total tickets and 89% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
63% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Nationals, so the average Nationals bet was larger than the average Marlins bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Marlins vs Nationals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Nationals) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 9 | 9 | 0 |
The Nationals opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Marlins.
The total opened 9 and closed 9: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Marlins vs Nationals line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Marlins (Nationals -1.5 to Nationals +1.5) even though 62% of the spread money sits on the Nationals; the Marlins hold 38% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (9) even with 89% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.