Nationals @ Padres
Nationals
PadresArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Padres beat the Nationals 4-3 at home. The market closed with Nationals at +142 on the moneyline and the total at 8.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Nationals betting trends · Padres betting trends · all MLB games
Nationals vs Padres betting splits
Where was the money on Nationals vs Padres?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nationals | 11% | 7% | +1.5 (-150) |
| Padres | 89% | 93% | -1.5 (+124) | |
| Total | Over | 98% | 96% | O 8.5 (-107) |
| Under | 2% | 4% | U 8.5 (-119) | |
| Moneyline | Nationals | 16% | 7% | +142 |
| Padres | 84% | 93% | -168 |
89% of spread tickets and 93% of spread money were on the Padres, so the average Padres bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
98% of total tickets and 96% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
84% of moneyline tickets and 93% of moneyline money were on the Padres, so the average Padres bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Nationals vs Padres?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Padres) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 9 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
The Padres opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 9 and closed 8.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Nationals vs Padres line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Padres -1.5) even with 93% of the spread money on the Padres. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (9 to 8.5) even though 96% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 4% of the money and 2% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.