Guardians @ Cubs
Guardians
CubsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cubs beat the Guardians 5-4 at home. The market closed with Guardians at +136 on the moneyline and the total at 8.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Cubs betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Cubs betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Cubs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 5% | 6% | +1.5 (-153) |
| Cubs | 95% | 94% | -1.5 (+129) | |
| Total | Over | 84% | 75% | O 8.5 (-108) |
| Under | 16% | 25% | U 8.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 11% | 27% | +136 |
| Cubs | 89% | 73% | -162 |
95% of spread tickets and 94% of spread money were on the Cubs, so the Cubs drew more tickets than money and the average Guardians bet was larger.
84% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
89% of moneyline tickets and 73% of moneyline money were on the Cubs, so the Cubs drew more tickets than money and the average Guardians bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Cubs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cubs) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 9 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
The Cubs opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 9 and closed 8.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Cubs line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Cubs -1.5) even with 94% of the spread money on the Cubs. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (9 to 8.5) even though 75% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 25% of the money and 16% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.