Royals @ Marlins
Royals
MarlinsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Marlins beat the Royals 3-1 at home. The market closed with Royals at -120 on the moneyline and the total at 8. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Royals betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Royals vs Marlins betting splits
Where was the money on Royals vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Royals | 58% | 66% | -1.5 (+140) |
| Marlins | 42% | 34% | +1.5 (-171) | |
| Total | Over | 84% | 85% | O 8 (-115) |
| Under | 16% | 15% | U 8 (-106) | |
| Moneyline | Royals | 62% | 75% | -120 |
| Marlins | 38% | 25% | -100 |
58% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Royals, so the average Royals bet was larger than the average Marlins bet.
84% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
62% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the Royals, so the average Royals bet was larger than the average Marlins bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Royals vs Marlins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
The Royals opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 8, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Royals vs Marlins line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Marlins +1.5) even with 66% of the spread money on the Royals. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8.5 to 8) even though 85% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 15% of the money and 16% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.