Reds @ Nationals
Reds
NationalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Nationals beat the Reds 10-8 at home. The market closed with Reds at -125 on the moneyline and the total at 9.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Reds betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games
Reds vs Nationals betting splits
Where was the money on Reds vs Nationals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Reds | 72% | 70% | -1.5 (+124) |
| Nationals | 28% | 30% | +1.5 (-148) | |
| Total | Over | 89% | 90% | O 9.5 (-107) |
| Under | 11% | 10% | U 9.5 (-118) | |
| Moneyline | Reds | 73% | 79% | -125 |
| Nationals | 27% | 21% | +104 |
72% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Reds, so the Reds drew more tickets than money and the average Nationals bet was larger.
89% of total tickets and 90% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
73% of moneyline tickets and 79% of moneyline money were on the Reds, so the average Reds bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Reds vs Nationals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Nationals) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 9 | 9.5 | +0.5 |
The Reds opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 9 and closed 9.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Reds vs Nationals line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Nationals +1.5) even with 70% of the spread money on the Reds. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (9 to 9.5), the side holding 90% of the total money and 89% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.