Padres @ Marlins
Padres
MarlinsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Marlins beat the Padres 4-3 at home. The market closed with Padres at +111 on the moneyline and the total at 8. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Padres betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Padres vs Marlins betting splits
Where was the money on Padres vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Padres | 34% | 56% | +1.5 (-200) |
| Marlins | 66% | 44% | -1.5 (+164) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 72% | O 8 (-106) |
| Under | 15% | 28% | U 8 (-114) | |
| Moneyline | Padres | 49% | 82% | +111 |
| Marlins | 51% | 18% | -131 |
The Marlins held 66% of spread tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of spread money was on the Padres with 34% of tickets, so the average Padres bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Marlins held 51% of moneyline tickets but only 18% of the money; 82% of moneyline money was on the Padres with 49% of tickets, so the average Padres bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Padres vs Marlins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | +1.5 | -1.5 | -3 |
| Total | 8 | 8 | 0 |
The Padres opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Marlins.
The total opened 8 and closed 8: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Padres vs Marlins line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Marlins (Marlins +1.5 to Marlins -1.5) even though 56% of the spread money sits on the Padres; the Marlins hold 44% of the money and 66% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (8) even with 72% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.