Marlins @ Guardians
Marlins
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Marlins 9-4 at home. The market closed with Marlins at +107 on the moneyline and the total at 7. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Marlins betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Marlins vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Marlins vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marlins | 38% | 49% | PK (-108) |
| Guardians | 62% | 51% | PK (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 91% | 87% | O 7 (-124) |
| Under | 9% | 13% | U 7 (+102) | |
| Moneyline | Marlins | 51% | 47% | +107 |
| Guardians | 49% | 53% | +102 |
62% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Guardians, so the Guardians drew more tickets than money and the average Marlins bet was larger.
91% of total tickets and 87% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Marlins held 51% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Guardians with 49% of tickets, so the average Guardians bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Marlins vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | -1.5 | PK | +1.5 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed PK, a 1.5-point move toward the Marlins.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 7, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Marlins vs Guardians line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Marlins (Guardians -1.5 to Guardians PK) even though 51% of the spread money sits on the Guardians; the Marlins hold 49% of the money and 38% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (7.5 to 7) even though 87% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 13% of the money and 9% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.