Pirates @ Cubs
Pirates
CubsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cubs beat the Pirates 3-1 at home. The market closed with Pirates at +184 on the moneyline and the total at 8.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Pirates betting trends · Cubs betting trends · all MLB games
Pirates vs Cubs betting splits
Where was the money on Pirates vs Cubs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pirates | 12% | 9% | +1.5 (-110) |
| Cubs | 88% | 91% | -1.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 34% | 51% | O 8.5 (-125) |
| Under | 66% | 49% | U 8.5 (+105) | |
| Moneyline | Pirates | 10% | 8% | +184 |
| Cubs | 90% | 92% | -229 |
88% of spread tickets and 91% of spread money were on the Cubs, so the average Cubs bet was larger than the average Pirates bet.
The under held 66% of total tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of total money was on the over with 34% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 92% of moneyline money were on the Cubs, so the average Cubs bet was larger than the average Pirates bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Pirates vs Cubs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cubs) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 9.5 | 8.5 | -1 |
The Cubs opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 9.5 and closed 8.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Pirates vs Cubs line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Cubs -1.5) even with 91% of the spread money on the Cubs. The total moved 1 point toward the under (9.5 to 8.5) even though 51% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 49% of the money and 66% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.