Braves @ Guardians
Braves
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Braves beat the Guardians 5-4 on the road. The market closed with Braves at +100 on the moneyline and the total at 9. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Braves betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Braves vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Braves vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Braves | 29% | 24% | -1.5 (+157) |
| Guardians | 71% | 76% | +1.5 (-188) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 80% | O 9 (-100) |
| Under | 21% | 20% | U 9 (-122) | |
| Moneyline | Braves | 46% | 55% | +100 |
| Guardians | 54% | 45% | -121 |
71% of spread tickets and 76% of spread money were on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet was larger than the average Braves bet.
79% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Guardians held 54% of moneyline tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of moneyline money was on the Braves with 46% of tickets, so the average Braves bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Braves vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 9 | 9 | 0 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Braves.
The total opened 9 and closed 9: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Braves vs Guardians line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Braves (Guardians -1.5 to Guardians +1.5) even though 76% of the spread money sits on the Guardians; the Braves hold 24% of the money and 29% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (9) even with 80% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.