Guardians @ Royals
Guardians
RoyalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Royals beat the Guardians 5-3 at home. The market closed with Guardians at -103 on the moneyline and the total at 9. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Royals betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Royals betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 44% | 59% | -1.5 (+159) |
| Royals | 56% | 41% | +1.5 (-193) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 78% | O 9 (-102) |
| Under | 23% | 22% | U 9 (-119) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 49% | 64% | -103 |
| Royals | 51% | 36% | -117 |
The Royals held 56% of spread tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of spread money was on the Guardians with 44% of tickets, so the average Guardians bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 78% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Royals held 51% of moneyline tickets but only 36% of the money; 64% of moneyline money was on the Guardians with 49% of tickets, so the average Guardians bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Royals) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Royals line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Royals +1.5) even with 59% of the spread money on the Guardians. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (8.5 to 9), the side holding 78% of the total money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.