Marlins @ Nationals
Marlins
NationalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Nationals beat the Marlins 5-2 at home. The market closed with Marlins at +107 on the moneyline and the total at 9. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Marlins betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games
Marlins vs Nationals betting splits
Where was the money on Marlins vs Nationals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marlins | 40% | 66% | +1.5 (-189) |
| Nationals | 60% | 34% | -1.5 (+157) | |
| Total | Over | 89% | 97% | O 9 (-105) |
| Under | 11% | 3% | U 9 (-118) | |
| Moneyline | Marlins | 53% | 69% | +107 |
| Nationals | 47% | 31% | -130 |
The Nationals held 60% of spread tickets but only 34% of the money; 66% of spread money was on the Marlins with 40% of tickets, so the average Marlins bet was larger.
89% of total tickets and 97% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
53% of moneyline tickets and 69% of moneyline money were on the Marlins, so the average Marlins bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Marlins vs Nationals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Nationals) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
The Nationals opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Marlins vs Nationals line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Nationals -1.5) even with 66% of the spread money on the Marlins. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (8.5 to 9), the side holding 97% of the total money and 89% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.