Guardians @ Red Sox
Guardians
Red SoxArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Red Sox 8-1 on the road. The market closed with Guardians at +123 on the moneyline and the total at 8.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Red Sox betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Red Sox betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Red Sox?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 12% | 14% | +1.5 (-164) |
| Red Sox | 88% | 86% | -1.5 (+137) | |
| Total | Over | 91% | 88% | O 8.5 (-122) |
| Under | 9% | 12% | U 8.5 (-104) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 16% | 13% | +123 |
| Red Sox | 84% | 87% | -150 |
88% of spread tickets and 86% of spread money were on the Red Sox, so the Red Sox drew more tickets than money and the average Guardians bet was larger.
91% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
84% of moneyline tickets and 87% of moneyline money were on the Red Sox, so the average Red Sox bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Red Sox?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Red Sox) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 9 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
The Red Sox opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 9 and closed 8.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Red Sox line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Red Sox -1.5) even with 86% of the spread money on the Red Sox. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (9 to 8.5) even though 88% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 12% of the money and 9% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.