Royals @ Guardians
Royals
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Royals 10-2 at home. The market closed with Royals at -105 on the moneyline and the total at 7.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Royals betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Royals vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Royals vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Royals | 45% | 62% | -1.5 (+160) |
| Guardians | 55% | 38% | +1.5 (-188) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 79% | O 7.5 (-116) |
| Under | 17% | 21% | U 7.5 (-107) | |
| Moneyline | Royals | 52% | 48% | -105 |
| Guardians | 48% | 52% | -115 |
The Guardians held 55% of spread tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of spread money was on the Royals with 45% of tickets, so the average Royals bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 79% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Royals held 52% of moneyline tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of moneyline money was on the Guardians with 48% of tickets, so the average Guardians bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Royals vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 8 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Royals.
The total opened 8 and closed 7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Royals vs Guardians line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Royals (Guardians -1.5 to Guardians +1.5), the side holding 62% of the spread money and 45% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8 to 7.5) even though 79% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 21% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.