Padres @ Pirates
Padres
PiratesArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Pirates beat the Padres 7-1 at home. The market closed with Padres at +125 on the moneyline and the total at 6. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Padres betting trends · Pirates betting trends · all MLB games
Padres vs Pirates betting splits
Where was the money on Padres vs Pirates?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Padres | 26% | 61% | +1.5 (-185) |
| Pirates | 74% | 39% | -1.5 (+164) | |
| Total | Over | 82% | 84% | O 6 (-115) |
| Under | 18% | 16% | U 6 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Padres | 34% | 46% | +125 |
| Pirates | 66% | 54% | -150 |
The Pirates held 74% of spread tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of spread money was on the Padres with 26% of tickets, so the average Padres bet was larger.
82% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
66% of moneyline tickets and 54% of moneyline money were on the Pirates, so the Pirates drew more tickets than money and the average Padres bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Padres vs Pirates?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Pirates) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
The Pirates opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 6.5 and closed 6, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Padres vs Pirates line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Pirates -1.5) even with 61% of the spread money on the Padres. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (6.5 to 6) even though 84% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 16% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.