Guardians @ Braves
Guardians
BravesArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Braves beat the Guardians 13-1 at home. The market closed with Guardians at +165 on the moneyline and the total at 7. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Braves betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Braves betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Braves?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 35% | 30% | +1.5 (-137) |
| Braves | 65% | 70% | -1.5 (+115) | |
| Total | Over | 82% | 72% | O 7 (-118) |
| Under | 18% | 28% | U 7 (-102) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 20% | 52% | +165 |
| Braves | 80% | 48% | -200 |
65% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Braves, so the average Braves bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
82% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Braves held 80% of moneyline tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of moneyline money was on the Guardians with 20% of tickets, so the average Guardians bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Braves?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Braves) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
The Braves opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 7, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Braves line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Braves -1.5) even with 70% of the spread money on the Braves. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (7.5 to 7) even though 72% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 28% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.