Nationals @ Pirates
Nationals
PiratesArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Nationals beat the Pirates 5-4 on the road. The market closed with Nationals at +154 on the moneyline and the total at 9.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Nationals betting trends · Pirates betting trends · all MLB games
Nationals vs Pirates betting splits
Where was the money on Nationals vs Pirates?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nationals | 9% | 5% | +1.5 (-135) |
| Pirates | 91% | 95% | -1.5 (+115) | |
| Total | Over | 96% | 83% | O 9.5 (-120) |
| Under | 4% | 17% | U 9.5 (-104) | |
| Moneyline | Nationals | 10% | 15% | +154 |
| Pirates | 90% | 85% | -184 |
91% of spread tickets and 95% of spread money were on the Pirates, so the average Pirates bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
96% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 85% of moneyline money were on the Pirates, so the Pirates drew more tickets than money and the average Nationals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Nationals vs Pirates?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Pirates) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9.5 | +1 |
The Pirates opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Nationals vs Pirates line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Pirates -1.5) even with 95% of the spread money on the Pirates. The total moved 1 point toward the over (8.5 to 9.5), the side holding 83% of the total money and 96% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.