Guardians @ Royals
Guardians
RoyalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Royals beat the Guardians 6-2 at home. The market closed with Guardians at -100 on the moneyline and the total at 9. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Royals betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Royals betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 36% | 40% | PK (-116) |
| Royals | 64% | 60% | PK (-103) | |
| Total | Over | 72% | 66% | O 9 (-113) |
| Under | 28% | 34% | U 9 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 46% | 53% | -100 |
| Royals | 54% | 47% | -120 |
64% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Royals, so the Royals drew more tickets than money and the average Guardians bet was larger.
72% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Royals held 54% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Guardians with 46% of tickets, so the average Guardians bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Royals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Royals) | -1.5 | PK | +1.5 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
The Royals opened -1.5 and closed PK, a 1.5-point move toward the Guardians.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Royals line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Guardians (Royals -1.5 to Royals PK) even though 60% of the spread money sits on the Royals; the Guardians hold 40% of the money and 36% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (8.5 to 9), the side holding 66% of the total money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.