Twins @ Guardians
Twins
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Twins beat the Guardians 2-1 on the road. The market closed with Twins at +102 on the moneyline and the total at 8. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Twins betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Twins vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Twins vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Twins | 28% | 42% | -1.5 (+165) |
| Guardians | 72% | 58% | +1.5 (-188) | |
| Total | Over | 89% | 85% | O 8 (-105) |
| Under | 11% | 15% | U 8 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Twins | 32% | 45% | +102 |
| Guardians | 68% | 55% | -100 |
72% of spread tickets and 58% of spread money were on the Guardians, so the Guardians drew more tickets than money and the average Twins bet was larger.
89% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
68% of moneyline tickets and 55% of moneyline money were on the Guardians, so the Guardians drew more tickets than money and the average Twins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Twins vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | PK | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
The Twins opened PK and closed -1.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Twins.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 8, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Twins vs Guardians line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Twins (Guardians PK to Guardians +1.5) even though 58% of the spread money sits on the Guardians; the Twins hold 42% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (7.5 to 8), the side holding 85% of the total money and 89% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.