Orioles @ Nationals
Orioles
NationalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Orioles beat the Nationals 7-3 on the road. The market closed with Orioles at -120 on the moneyline and the total at 10. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Orioles betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games
Orioles vs Nationals betting splits
Where was the money on Orioles vs Nationals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Orioles | 64% | 69% | -1.5 (+123) |
| Nationals | 36% | 31% | +1.5 (-152) | |
| Total | Over | 55% | 61% | O 10 (-116) |
| Under | 45% | 39% | U 10 (-101) | |
| Moneyline | Orioles | 54% | 43% | -120 |
| Nationals | 46% | 57% | +101 |
64% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Orioles, so the average Orioles bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
55% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Orioles held 54% of moneyline tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of moneyline money was on the Nationals with 46% of tickets, so the average Nationals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Orioles vs Nationals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Nationals) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
The Orioles opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 10.5 and closed 10, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Orioles vs Nationals line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Nationals +1.5) even with 69% of the spread money on the Orioles. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (10.5 to 10) even though 61% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 39% of the money and 45% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.