Red Sox @ Royals
Red Sox
RoyalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Red Sox beat the Royals 4-3 on the road. The market closed with Red Sox at -100 on the moneyline and the total at 7.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Red Sox betting trends · Royals betting trends · all MLB games
Red Sox vs Royals betting splits
Where was the money on Red Sox vs Royals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Red Sox | 41% | 40% | -1.5 (+154) |
| Royals | 59% | 60% | -1.5 (+155) | |
| Total | Over | 84% | 74% | O 7.5 (-109) |
| Under | 16% | 26% | U 7.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | 49% | 48% | -100 |
| Royals | 51% | 52% | -114 |
59% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Royals, so the average Royals bet was larger than the average Red Sox bet.
84% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
51% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Royals, so the average Royals bet was larger than the average Red Sox bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Red Sox vs Royals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Royals) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 7.5 | -1 |
The Royals opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 7.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Red Sox vs Royals line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Royals -1.5) even with 60% of the spread money on the Royals. The total moved 1 point toward the under (8.5 to 7.5) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 16% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.