Nationals @ Guardians
Nationals
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Nationals 3-2 at home. The market closed with Nationals at +151 on the moneyline and the total at 7.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Nationals betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Nationals vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Nationals vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nationals | 12% | 9% | +1.5 (-142) |
| Guardians | 88% | 91% | -1.5 (+123) | |
| Total | Over | 53% | 76% | O 7.5 (-119) |
| Under | 47% | 24% | U 7.5 (-102) | |
| Moneyline | Nationals | 27% | 23% | +151 |
| Guardians | 73% | 77% | -180 |
88% of spread tickets and 91% of spread money were on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
53% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
73% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Nationals vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 7.5 | -1 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 7.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Nationals vs Guardians line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Guardians -1.5) even with 91% of the spread money on the Guardians. The total moved 1 point toward the under (8.5 to 7.5) even though 76% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 24% of the money and 47% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.