Padres @ Nationals
Padres
NationalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Padres beat the Nationals 7-5 on the road. The market closed with Padres at -103 on the moneyline and the total at 9.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Padres betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games
Padres vs Nationals betting splits
Where was the money on Padres vs Nationals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Padres | 70% | 83% | -1.5 (+146) |
| Nationals | 30% | 17% | -2.5 (-100) | |
| Total | Over | 48% | 70% | O 9.5 (-102) |
| Under | 52% | 30% | U 9.5 (-122) | |
| Moneyline | Padres | 60% | 62% | -103 |
| Nationals | 40% | 38% | -118 |
70% of spread tickets and 83% of spread money were on the Padres, so the average Padres bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
The under held 52% of total tickets but only 30% of the money; 70% of total money was on the over with 48% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
60% of moneyline tickets and 62% of moneyline money were on the Padres, so the average Padres bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Padres vs Nationals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Nationals) | -1.5 | -2.5 | -1 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9.5 | +1 |
The Nationals opened -1.5 and closed -2.5, a 1-point move toward the Nationals.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Padres vs Nationals line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Nationals (Nationals -1.5 to Nationals -2.5) even though 83% of the spread money sits on the Padres; the Nationals hold 17% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (8.5 to 9.5), the side holding 70% of the total money and 48% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.