Red Sox @ Guardians
Red Sox
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Red Sox 4-3 at home. The market closed with Red Sox at +106 on the moneyline and the total at 8. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Red Sox betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Red Sox vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Red Sox vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Red Sox | 30% | 61% | +1.5 (-205) |
| Guardians | 70% | 39% | -1.5 (+169) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 85% | O 8 (-111) |
| Under | 15% | 15% | U 8 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | 30% | 25% | +106 |
| Guardians | 70% | 75% | -126 |
The Guardians held 70% of spread tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of spread money was on the Red Sox with 30% of tickets, so the average Red Sox bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
70% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet was larger than the average Red Sox bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Red Sox vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
The Guardians opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 8, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Red Sox vs Guardians line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Guardians -1.5) even with 61% of the spread money on the Red Sox. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (7.5 to 8), the side holding 85% of the total money and 85% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.