Red Sox @ Guardians
Red Sox
GuardiansArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Red Sox beat the Guardians 9-4 on the road. The market closed with Red Sox at -105 on the moneyline and the total at 7. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Red Sox betting trends · Guardians betting trends · all MLB games
Red Sox vs Guardians betting splits
Where was the money on Red Sox vs Guardians?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Red Sox | 75% | 50% | -1.5 (+159) |
| Guardians | 25% | 50% | +1.5 (-204) | |
| Total | Over | 98% | 86% | O 7 (-100) |
| Under | 2% | 14% | U 7 (-121) | |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | 56% | 65% | -105 |
| Guardians | 44% | 35% | -115 |
Spread money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 75% Red Sox, 25% Guardians).
98% of total tickets and 86% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
56% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Red Sox, so the average Red Sox bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Red Sox vs Guardians?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Guardians) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
The Red Sox opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 7, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Red Sox vs Guardians line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Guardians +1.5). The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (7.5 to 7) even though 86% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 14% of the money and 2% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.