Marlins @ Nationals
Marlins
NationalsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Marlins beat the Nationals 4-1 on the road. The market closed with Marlins at -118 on the moneyline and the total at 8. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Marlins betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games
Marlins vs Nationals betting splits
Where was the money on Marlins vs Nationals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marlins | 72% | 74% | -1.5 (+144) |
| Nationals | 28% | 26% | +1.5 (-176) | |
| Total | Over | 92% | 75% | O 8 (-114) |
| Under | 8% | 25% | U 8 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Marlins | 59% | 51% | -118 |
| Nationals | 41% | 49% | -105 |
72% of spread tickets and 74% of spread money were on the Marlins, so the average Marlins bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
92% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
59% of moneyline tickets and 51% of moneyline money were on the Marlins, so the Marlins drew more tickets than money and the average Nationals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Marlins vs Nationals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Nationals) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
The Nationals opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Marlins.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 8, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Marlins vs Nationals line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Marlins (Nationals -1.5 to Nationals +1.5), the side holding 74% of the spread money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (8.5 to 8) even though 75% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 25% of the money and 8% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.