Padres @ Orioles
Padres
OriolesArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Padres beat the Orioles 9-3 on the road. The market closed with Padres at -100 on the moneyline and the total at 10.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Padres betting trends · Orioles betting trends · all MLB games
Padres vs Orioles betting splits
Where was the money on Padres vs Orioles?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Padres | 29% | 25% | -1.5 (+155) |
| Orioles | 71% | 75% | +1.5 (-188) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 82% | O 10.5 (-111) |
| Under | 22% | 18% | U 10.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Padres | 41% | 45% | -100 |
| Orioles | 59% | 55% | -120 |
71% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Orioles, so the average Orioles bet was larger than the average Padres bet.
78% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
59% of moneyline tickets and 55% of moneyline money were on the Orioles, so the Orioles drew more tickets than money and the average Padres bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Padres vs Orioles?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Orioles) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 9.5 | 10.5 | +1 |
The Orioles opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Padres.
The total opened 9.5 and closed 10.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Padres vs Orioles line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Padres (Orioles -1.5 to Orioles +1.5) even though 75% of the spread money sits on the Orioles; the Padres hold 25% of the money and 29% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (9.5 to 10.5), the side holding 82% of the total money and 78% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.