Marlins @ Phillies
Marlins
PhilliesArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Marlins beat the Phillies 12-4 on the road. The market closed with Marlins at +102 on the moneyline and the total at 9.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Marlins betting trends · Phillies betting trends · all MLB games
Marlins vs Phillies betting splits
Where was the money on Marlins vs Phillies?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marlins | 45% | 46% | -1.5 (+159) |
| Phillies | 55% | 54% | +1.5 (-193) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 71% | O 9.5 (-102) |
| Under | 34% | 29% | U 9.5 (-122) | |
| Moneyline | Marlins | 31% | 64% | +102 |
| Phillies | 69% | 36% | -122 |
55% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Phillies, so the Phillies drew more tickets than money and the average Marlins bet was larger.
66% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Phillies held 69% of moneyline tickets but only 36% of the money; 64% of moneyline money was on the Marlins with 31% of tickets, so the average Marlins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Marlins vs Phillies?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Phillies) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9.5 | +1 |
The Phillies opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Marlins.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Marlins vs Phillies line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Marlins (Phillies -1.5 to Phillies +1.5) even though 54% of the spread money sits on the Phillies; the Marlins hold 46% of the money and 45% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (8.5 to 9.5), the side holding 71% of the total money and 66% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.