Nationals @ Red Sox
Nationals
Red SoxArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Red Sox beat the Nationals 6-3 at home. The market closed with Nationals at +149 on the moneyline and the total at 8.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Nationals betting trends · Red Sox betting trends · all MLB games
Nationals vs Red Sox betting splits
Where was the money on Nationals vs Red Sox?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nationals | 19% | 14% | +1.5 (-146) |
| Red Sox | 81% | 86% | -1.5 (+115) | |
| Total | Over | 91% | 88% | O 8.5 (-108) |
| Under | 9% | 12% | U 8.5 (-114) | |
| Moneyline | Nationals | 12% | 27% | +149 |
| Red Sox | 88% | 73% | -180 |
81% of spread tickets and 86% of spread money were on the Red Sox, so the average Red Sox bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.
91% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
88% of moneyline tickets and 73% of moneyline money were on the Red Sox, so the Red Sox drew more tickets than money and the average Nationals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Nationals vs Red Sox?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Red Sox) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 9 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
The Red Sox opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 9 and closed 8.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Nationals vs Red Sox line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Red Sox -1.5) even with 86% of the spread money on the Red Sox. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (9 to 8.5) even though 88% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 12% of the money and 9% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.