Padres @ Cubs
Padres
CubsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cubs beat the Padres 3-2 at home. The market closed with Padres at +137 on the moneyline and the total at 11.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Padres betting trends · Cubs betting trends · all MLB games
Padres vs Cubs betting splits
Where was the money on Padres vs Cubs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Padres | 17% | 9% | +1.5 (-142) |
| Cubs | 83% | 91% | -1.5 (+118) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 71% | O 11.5 (-104) |
| Under | 26% | 29% | U 11.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Padres | 10% | 7% | +137 |
| Cubs | 90% | 93% | -164 |
83% of spread tickets and 91% of spread money were on the Cubs, so the average Cubs bet was larger than the average Padres bet.
74% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 93% of moneyline money were on the Cubs, so the average Cubs bet was larger than the average Padres bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Padres vs Cubs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cubs) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 12.5 | 11.5 | -1 |
The Cubs opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 12.5 and closed 11.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Padres vs Cubs line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Cubs -1.5) even with 91% of the spread money on the Cubs. The total moved 1 point toward the under (12.5 to 11.5) even though 71% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 29% of the money and 26% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.