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Pirates @ Nationals

Pirates
71
Final
Nationals
Sat, Jul 4, 2026, 11:05 AM ET · MLB
Closing · ML -160 · SPR +1.5 · O/U 10.5

Archived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.

Matchup summary

Final: Pirates beat the Nationals 7-1 on the road. The market closed with Pirates at -160 on the moneyline and the total at 10.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.

Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL

More on this matchup: Pirates betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games

Pirates vs Nationals betting splits

Where was the money on Pirates vs Nationals?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyClosing line / odds
SpreadPirates73%70%-1.5 (-101)
Nationals27%30%+1.5 (-119)
TotalOver82%81%O 10.5 (-102)
Under18%19%U 10.5 (-114)
MoneylinePirates65%68%-160
Nationals35%32%+134

73% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Pirates, so the Pirates drew more tickets than money and the average Nationals bet was larger.

82% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.

65% of moneyline tickets and 68% of moneyline money were on the Pirates, so the average Pirates bet was larger than the average Nationals bet.

Line movement

What was the closing line for Pirates vs Nationals?

MarketOpeningClosingMove
Spread (Nationals)+1.5+1.50
Total1010.5+0.5

The Pirates opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.

The total opened 10 and closed 10.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.

Why the line moved

Why did the Pirates vs Nationals line move?

The spread did not move from its opening number (Nationals +1.5) even with 70% of the spread money on the Pirates. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (10 to 10.5), the side holding 81% of the total money and 82% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.

Read more

Pirates vs Nationals Final Score, Closing Odds & Betting Splits — Jul 4, 2026 | Locksmith