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Pirates @ Nationals

Pirates
115
Final
Nationals
Sun, Jul 5, 2026, 1:00 PM ET · MLB
Closing · ML +120 · SPR -1.5 · O/U 10

Archived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.

Matchup summary

Final: Pirates beat the Nationals 11-5 on the road. The market closed with Pirates at +120 on the moneyline and the total at 10. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.

Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL

More on this matchup: Pirates betting trends · Nationals betting trends · all MLB games

Pirates vs Nationals betting splits

Where was the money on Pirates vs Nationals?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyClosing line / odds
SpreadPirates22%18%+1.5 (-168)
Nationals78%82%-1.5 (+142)
TotalOver74%78%O 10 (-110)
Under26%22%U 10 (-110)
MoneylinePirates32%31%+120
Nationals68%69%-146

78% of spread tickets and 82% of spread money were on the Nationals, so the average Nationals bet was larger than the average Pirates bet.

74% of total tickets and 78% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.

68% of moneyline tickets and 69% of moneyline money were on the Nationals, so the average Nationals bet was larger than the average Pirates bet.

Line movement

What was the closing line for Pirates vs Nationals?

MarketOpeningClosingMove
Spread (Nationals)-1.5-1.50
Total9.510+0.5

The Nationals opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.

The total opened 9.5 and closed 10, a 0.5-point move toward the over.

Why the line moved

Why did the Pirates vs Nationals line move?

The spread did not move from its opening number (Nationals -1.5) even with 82% of the spread money on the Nationals. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (9.5 to 10), the side holding 78% of the total money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.

Read more

Pirates vs Nationals Final Score, Closing Odds & Betting Splits — Jul 5, 2026 | Locksmith