Guardians @ Marlins
Guardians
MarlinsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Marlins 3-2 on the road. The market closed with Guardians at +105 on the moneyline and the total at 7. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Marlins betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 26% | 14% | +1.5 (-211) |
| Marlins | 74% | 86% | -1.5 (+180) | |
| Total | Over | 86% | 92% | O 7 (-125) |
| Under | 14% | 8% | U 7 (+104) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 24% | 18% | +105 |
| Marlins | 76% | 82% | -125 |
74% of spread tickets and 86% of spread money were on the Marlins, so the average Marlins bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
86% of total tickets and 92% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
76% of moneyline tickets and 82% of moneyline money were on the Marlins, so the average Marlins bet was larger than the average Guardians bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Marlins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
The Marlins opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 7, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Marlins line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Marlins -1.5) even with 86% of the spread money on the Marlins. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (7.5 to 7) even though 92% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 8% of the money and 14% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.