Guardians @ Marlins
Guardians
MarlinsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Guardians beat the Marlins 5-2 on the road. The market closed with Guardians at -114 on the moneyline and the total at 7.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Guardians betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Guardians vs Marlins betting splits
Where was the money on Guardians vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Guardians | 50% | 75% | -1.5 (+147) |
| Marlins | 50% | 25% | +1.5 (-179) | |
| Total | Over | 56% | 54% | O 7.5 (-116) |
| Under | 44% | 46% | U 7.5 (-103) | |
| Moneyline | Guardians | 53% | 49% | -114 |
| Marlins | 47% | 51% | -105 |
50% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Guardians, so the average Guardians bet was larger than the average Marlins bet.
56% of total tickets and 54% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Guardians held 53% of moneyline tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of moneyline money was on the Marlins with 47% of tickets, so the average Marlins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Guardians vs Marlins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 8.5 | 7.5 | -1 |
The Marlins opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Guardians.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 7.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Guardians vs Marlins line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Guardians (Marlins -1.5 to Marlins +1.5), the side holding 75% of the spread money and 50% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (8.5 to 7.5) even though 54% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 46% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.